To surmise what has happened ante post to the current day three months ago pretty much has gone the way the bookmakers had predicted.
What has sparkled our attention was the sudden decline in 180s last week. There was no obvious factors to bring to the table apart from the
European Tour event last weekend. However we have identified what we have noticed versus the individual factors we consider for each bet
this week.
Week 13 fixtures & head to head:
Wade Vs Lewis - Wade leads 28-20 with 3 draws (Wade has won just 2 of the last 10 including 2 of the last 3)
Chisnall Vs MVG - MVG leads 36-9 with 1 draw (MVG winning streak =14 wins)
Taylor Vs Wright - Taylor leads 20-8 with 3 draws (Taylor has won 4 of last 6)
Anderson Vs Barney - Anderson leads 18-15 with 2 draws (Barney ended an 11 game losing streak at the expense of the reverse fixture winning
7-2)
Lewis Vs MVG - MVG leads 31-14 with 3 draws
As ever the five favourites for the evening (Lewis, MVG, Wright, Anderson and MVG pays a smidgen over 10/1 in places. The underdogs not to lose their games pays a handsome 97/1.
Looking at the games this week
Wade Vs Lewis
This is a fixture where the implied indication is weighted heavily on the shoulders of Jackpot. Wade has struggled in recent meetings pocketing two wins from the last six encounters. With Lewis at a shade of odds on is chasing a play off whereas Wade's journey to the semi final could be made official by the end of the fixtures on Thursday
night.
With Wade's less attractive scoring over the last two weeks into theearly to mid 90 average, sponsors Betway still rate the left hander at hitting a 96.51 or better average at 5/6, and ticks our box. As Wade
has the work to do, the pressure angle is the consideration versus having to retain some energy for the second game.
Chisnall Vs MVG
MVG is just 30/100 with most compilers versus the BIG 9/1 on the maximum trousering Dave Chisnall.
Looking into this game, MVG will maintain top place after week 13 with a win in this fixture. We took the risk on Chisnall last week on the maximum count and both players did not hit above four maximums. With BetVictor taking on the under 8.5 line at even money this takes our fancy on the basis that compilers expect to see a maximum ever 1.33
recurring legs to land this assuming it goes the distance. With the implied distance of going 11 legs only makes the maximum average more
so advantageous although the big danger is when a player rattles a maximum, the other will react to this.
Taylor Vs Wright
Taylor went a par performance last week knocking off Anderson in the first before being subdued to a Chisnall defeat in the second game.
With a player such a Taylor who keeps switching in the event the line on the first dart or two in the treble versus a Peter Wright, who won the European Tour event last week may be implied to give Snakebite an element of a winners hangover.
Taylor showed bottle from 4-0 down last week against Gary Anderson reeling off seven straight legs to keep in the hunt for a place at the o2 next month.
Peter Wright appears to have one foot in the semi finals so will continue with his heavy scoring often hitting 140s. Looking at the maximums however with most firms heading on the 5.5 maximum line in
this, with Wright continually tweaking his set up, I agree with the 5.5 line. However with Stan James at 4/5 for fewer than seven maximums is surely worth a look.
Anderson Vs Barney
I feel that the winner of this is more than likely to go on to make the top 4 and how could Anderson be overlooked here? Barney has put in some serious performances over the campaign. With the consistencies of Anderson most recently versus Barney makes the Scot the most likely winner for the tie. However the Dutch veteran has gears during games and with the less predictable nature of Anderson make any PRO markets difficult to call properly. You have to side with Anderson to get the
job done here, with no disrespect to Raymond whatsoever but with the throw first Anderson can win this but will be a tight affair with Barney picking up at least four legs in this one.
Lewis Vs MVG
Often it has been that when players compete twice in this fixture the second game is generally a great game to end the night. With MVG and Lewis's youth still behind them their motivation to outflank one
another will be tested here.
One market that does appeal here is MVG to hit the most 180s at 5/6 with Ladbrokes and Coral. Lewis can be hit or miss with the first dart, whereas MVG's sharpness prevails as part of his success and
think it is worth a play here.
Recommendations
Wade U 96.50 average - 5/6 Betway 1pt
Chisnall/MVG - U8.5 180s - 1/1 BetVictor 1pt
Taylor/Wright - U6.5 180s - 4/5 Stan James 1pt
Anderson to beat Barney & both to win 4 or more legs - 11/5 William Hill 1pt
MVG most 180s vs Lewis - 5/6 Ladbrokes and Coral 1pt
What has sparkled our attention was the sudden decline in 180s last week. There was no obvious factors to bring to the table apart from the
European Tour event last weekend. However we have identified what we have noticed versus the individual factors we consider for each bet
this week.
Week 13 fixtures & head to head:
Wade Vs Lewis - Wade leads 28-20 with 3 draws (Wade has won just 2 of the last 10 including 2 of the last 3)
Chisnall Vs MVG - MVG leads 36-9 with 1 draw (MVG winning streak =14 wins)
Taylor Vs Wright - Taylor leads 20-8 with 3 draws (Taylor has won 4 of last 6)
Anderson Vs Barney - Anderson leads 18-15 with 2 draws (Barney ended an 11 game losing streak at the expense of the reverse fixture winning
7-2)
Lewis Vs MVG - MVG leads 31-14 with 3 draws
As ever the five favourites for the evening (Lewis, MVG, Wright, Anderson and MVG pays a smidgen over 10/1 in places. The underdogs not to lose their games pays a handsome 97/1.
Looking at the games this week
Wade Vs Lewis
This is a fixture where the implied indication is weighted heavily on the shoulders of Jackpot. Wade has struggled in recent meetings pocketing two wins from the last six encounters. With Lewis at a shade of odds on is chasing a play off whereas Wade's journey to the semi final could be made official by the end of the fixtures on Thursday
night.
With Wade's less attractive scoring over the last two weeks into theearly to mid 90 average, sponsors Betway still rate the left hander at hitting a 96.51 or better average at 5/6, and ticks our box. As Wade
has the work to do, the pressure angle is the consideration versus having to retain some energy for the second game.
Chisnall Vs MVG
MVG is just 30/100 with most compilers versus the BIG 9/1 on the maximum trousering Dave Chisnall.
Looking into this game, MVG will maintain top place after week 13 with a win in this fixture. We took the risk on Chisnall last week on the maximum count and both players did not hit above four maximums. With BetVictor taking on the under 8.5 line at even money this takes our fancy on the basis that compilers expect to see a maximum ever 1.33
recurring legs to land this assuming it goes the distance. With the implied distance of going 11 legs only makes the maximum average more
so advantageous although the big danger is when a player rattles a maximum, the other will react to this.
Taylor Vs Wright
Taylor went a par performance last week knocking off Anderson in the first before being subdued to a Chisnall defeat in the second game.
With a player such a Taylor who keeps switching in the event the line on the first dart or two in the treble versus a Peter Wright, who won the European Tour event last week may be implied to give Snakebite an element of a winners hangover.
Taylor showed bottle from 4-0 down last week against Gary Anderson reeling off seven straight legs to keep in the hunt for a place at the o2 next month.
Peter Wright appears to have one foot in the semi finals so will continue with his heavy scoring often hitting 140s. Looking at the maximums however with most firms heading on the 5.5 maximum line in
this, with Wright continually tweaking his set up, I agree with the 5.5 line. However with Stan James at 4/5 for fewer than seven maximums is surely worth a look.
Anderson Vs Barney
I feel that the winner of this is more than likely to go on to make the top 4 and how could Anderson be overlooked here? Barney has put in some serious performances over the campaign. With the consistencies of Anderson most recently versus Barney makes the Scot the most likely winner for the tie. However the Dutch veteran has gears during games and with the less predictable nature of Anderson make any PRO markets difficult to call properly. You have to side with Anderson to get the
job done here, with no disrespect to Raymond whatsoever but with the throw first Anderson can win this but will be a tight affair with Barney picking up at least four legs in this one.
Lewis Vs MVG
Often it has been that when players compete twice in this fixture the second game is generally a great game to end the night. With MVG and Lewis's youth still behind them their motivation to outflank one
another will be tested here.
One market that does appeal here is MVG to hit the most 180s at 5/6 with Ladbrokes and Coral. Lewis can be hit or miss with the first dart, whereas MVG's sharpness prevails as part of his success and
think it is worth a play here.
Recommendations
Wade U 96.50 average - 5/6 Betway 1pt
Chisnall/MVG - U8.5 180s - 1/1 BetVictor 1pt
Taylor/Wright - U6.5 180s - 4/5 Stan James 1pt
Anderson to beat Barney & both to win 4 or more legs - 11/5 William Hill 1pt
MVG most 180s vs Lewis - 5/6 Ladbrokes and Coral 1pt