This weeks actions turns its attention to Leeds, where another five fixtures take place as the table starts to take its toll.
Wright Vs Anderson - 11-1-18
Lewis Vs Wade - 19-3-27
Taylor Vs Barney - 56-4-17
MVG Vs Klaasen - 14-0-7
Chisnall Vs K Huybrechts - 11-0-4
Before we get in to the meaty detail of the preview there is a range of markets available such as total 180s on the night to total legs, highest checkout markets and so forth.
Briefly looking at the ante post markets last weeks defeat for Klaasen has seen him cut from evens to 8/15 favourite for relegation come judgement night. Taylor and Wright are both 5/6 to qualify with most firms.
The weekly specials that stands out contray to what happened in round three last season is the 180 market. The first two weeks have seen 29 on both occasions with sponsors betway betting 9/10 on 32 or fewer on the night and looking at the card and recent performance i do fancy this. I also fancy no draw on the night at 13/8 also with the sponsors.
The checkout market did appeal on the under market of 151.5 but am slightly put off by the fact i like to remain positive on the viewing aspect rather than wishing for every second dart to miss.
Wright and Anderson kick off the action with the world number 3 a BIG 7/2 against the former double time champion Anderson a solid 4/6 throwing first to make it a second win in this campaign. The tie is at 4/1 which is a target price for many to nick the draw. #i have really liked Andersons approach when he was world champion for two years with a well if attitude to try and deflect the pressure element. His scoring is solid even if the maximums are fewer than years passed. Wright's biggest weakness tends to be overreaction in respect of tweaking his set up as has been documented over recent years. He has played very steady in the opening couple weeks and will make this game as tight as possible.
Will Wright have a chance at 7/2? Never say never but punters will confidently be backing Anderson. One consideration bet wise is fewer than eight maximums in the match at 8/11. Bookies are covering this line, but at 10/13 with Marathonbet is worth a small interest.
Lewis and Wade toe the oche second wih Wade only winning three of the last ten meetings. Wade lost both meetins 7-5 to Lewis in last years Premier League campaign.
Wade has shown his usual class especially with his solid start. A resillient draw against Phil Taylor last week kept Wade in the mix and will see interest at 17/10 with some odds compilers. Lewis is 13/10 with the draw at 7/2 so in some views a pick em fixture. Depsite Wade's lack of victories in the last ten meetins, the compilers are still of the opinion this does not bode as much of a factor as the present. Lewis has begun steadily with a narrow loss to Barney in week one, but defeating Chisnall last week. It must be noted Dave had forgotten his usual pair of trotters and was in a position where he needed a new pair of shoes to play last week.
Both meetins went Lewis's way 7-5 last season with Betfair the 8/1 shot on the same scoreline. Wade interestingly is 6/1 for the same scoreline, despite being the narrow underdog for the match. Interesting compiling there!
Our MO (Modus Operandi) is to check markets versus other markets to determine pricing discrepancies and we found one in this game to illustrate and share with you. The stat on over 11.5 legs incorporates a three way market of 7-5 either way and 7/2 for the tie. The combined price is 11/10 overall and Skybet bet 6/5 on over 11.5 legs overall.
We may not win every bet but certainly understand the numbers and mathematical principles. Wade's average line is set at 96.5 which based on the first two weeks may spark some interest. Wade is very much a mid 90's player, so a 96.5 average line is probably one point too high in our book. Wade did average in excess of 98 last week, but 96 scraping the week before suggests the very last visit could determine the bet winning or losing.
Wade is also a fair even money bet to land three or more maximums with Betfred. His 180 per leg ratio over the last two weeks is a tiny sample but 0.29 180s per leg, so the assumed calculation is spot on with evens there. Finally Paddy Power are tempting money with the checkout line of some 10 points below the industry average with Lewis 88.5 and Wade 89.5 with the overall line at 115.50 which i believe is a discrepancy between both sets of markets.
Taylor Vs Barney is an old rivalry which sees Barney beating Taylor in three of the last four premier league meetings.Taylor tends to thrve this meetings and could mean the average line of 98.50 is takeable especially with Paddy Power at 5/6. If you think both players can win four legs each in the game backing all outcomes in the win and four legs won market at hills nets a 4/11 return
MVG will want to polish off Klaasen in the penultimate game of the evening for reasons known within the circle. There is no love lost with the pair, which has seen MVG power to winning all ofthe last eight meetings. The last TV meeting saw MVG speed to a10-3 win, so no doubt markets has been angled on some more than generous lines. With some of the head to head defeats in MVG's quest, the games have been closer than the compilers imply, so will leave this one.
Chisnall and Huybrechts toe the oche last with Chizzy winning eight of the last ten meetins spanning back four years. Fingers crossed Chisnall has his regular shoes, which contributed to his set up preparation last week. Chisnall will be well backed for the most 180s in this game and at 1/2 will be perfect to double up with another bet.
Worth noting Chisnall is the only player lined up at 4.5 individual 180s on the night!
Recommendations
Under 7.5 Anderson/Wright 180s - 10/13 Marathonbet 1pt
NO draw on the night - 13/8 Betway 1pt
U32.5 180s on the night - 10/11 Betway 1pt
MVG/Chisnall most 180s in their matches - 2.42 Bet365 1,5 pts
Barney most 180s Vs Taylor - 5/6 Betfair 1pt
Wright Vs Anderson - 11-1-18
Lewis Vs Wade - 19-3-27
Taylor Vs Barney - 56-4-17
MVG Vs Klaasen - 14-0-7
Chisnall Vs K Huybrechts - 11-0-4
Before we get in to the meaty detail of the preview there is a range of markets available such as total 180s on the night to total legs, highest checkout markets and so forth.
Briefly looking at the ante post markets last weeks defeat for Klaasen has seen him cut from evens to 8/15 favourite for relegation come judgement night. Taylor and Wright are both 5/6 to qualify with most firms.
The weekly specials that stands out contray to what happened in round three last season is the 180 market. The first two weeks have seen 29 on both occasions with sponsors betway betting 9/10 on 32 or fewer on the night and looking at the card and recent performance i do fancy this. I also fancy no draw on the night at 13/8 also with the sponsors.
The checkout market did appeal on the under market of 151.5 but am slightly put off by the fact i like to remain positive on the viewing aspect rather than wishing for every second dart to miss.
Wright and Anderson kick off the action with the world number 3 a BIG 7/2 against the former double time champion Anderson a solid 4/6 throwing first to make it a second win in this campaign. The tie is at 4/1 which is a target price for many to nick the draw. #i have really liked Andersons approach when he was world champion for two years with a well if attitude to try and deflect the pressure element. His scoring is solid even if the maximums are fewer than years passed. Wright's biggest weakness tends to be overreaction in respect of tweaking his set up as has been documented over recent years. He has played very steady in the opening couple weeks and will make this game as tight as possible.
Will Wright have a chance at 7/2? Never say never but punters will confidently be backing Anderson. One consideration bet wise is fewer than eight maximums in the match at 8/11. Bookies are covering this line, but at 10/13 with Marathonbet is worth a small interest.
Lewis and Wade toe the oche second wih Wade only winning three of the last ten meetings. Wade lost both meetins 7-5 to Lewis in last years Premier League campaign.
Wade has shown his usual class especially with his solid start. A resillient draw against Phil Taylor last week kept Wade in the mix and will see interest at 17/10 with some odds compilers. Lewis is 13/10 with the draw at 7/2 so in some views a pick em fixture. Depsite Wade's lack of victories in the last ten meetins, the compilers are still of the opinion this does not bode as much of a factor as the present. Lewis has begun steadily with a narrow loss to Barney in week one, but defeating Chisnall last week. It must be noted Dave had forgotten his usual pair of trotters and was in a position where he needed a new pair of shoes to play last week.
Both meetins went Lewis's way 7-5 last season with Betfair the 8/1 shot on the same scoreline. Wade interestingly is 6/1 for the same scoreline, despite being the narrow underdog for the match. Interesting compiling there!
Our MO (Modus Operandi) is to check markets versus other markets to determine pricing discrepancies and we found one in this game to illustrate and share with you. The stat on over 11.5 legs incorporates a three way market of 7-5 either way and 7/2 for the tie. The combined price is 11/10 overall and Skybet bet 6/5 on over 11.5 legs overall.
We may not win every bet but certainly understand the numbers and mathematical principles. Wade's average line is set at 96.5 which based on the first two weeks may spark some interest. Wade is very much a mid 90's player, so a 96.5 average line is probably one point too high in our book. Wade did average in excess of 98 last week, but 96 scraping the week before suggests the very last visit could determine the bet winning or losing.
Wade is also a fair even money bet to land three or more maximums with Betfred. His 180 per leg ratio over the last two weeks is a tiny sample but 0.29 180s per leg, so the assumed calculation is spot on with evens there. Finally Paddy Power are tempting money with the checkout line of some 10 points below the industry average with Lewis 88.5 and Wade 89.5 with the overall line at 115.50 which i believe is a discrepancy between both sets of markets.
Taylor Vs Barney is an old rivalry which sees Barney beating Taylor in three of the last four premier league meetings.Taylor tends to thrve this meetings and could mean the average line of 98.50 is takeable especially with Paddy Power at 5/6. If you think both players can win four legs each in the game backing all outcomes in the win and four legs won market at hills nets a 4/11 return
MVG will want to polish off Klaasen in the penultimate game of the evening for reasons known within the circle. There is no love lost with the pair, which has seen MVG power to winning all ofthe last eight meetings. The last TV meeting saw MVG speed to a10-3 win, so no doubt markets has been angled on some more than generous lines. With some of the head to head defeats in MVG's quest, the games have been closer than the compilers imply, so will leave this one.
Chisnall and Huybrechts toe the oche last with Chizzy winning eight of the last ten meetins spanning back four years. Fingers crossed Chisnall has his regular shoes, which contributed to his set up preparation last week. Chisnall will be well backed for the most 180s in this game and at 1/2 will be perfect to double up with another bet.
Worth noting Chisnall is the only player lined up at 4.5 individual 180s on the night!
Recommendations
Under 7.5 Anderson/Wright 180s - 10/13 Marathonbet 1pt
NO draw on the night - 13/8 Betway 1pt
U32.5 180s on the night - 10/11 Betway 1pt
MVG/Chisnall most 180s in their matches - 2.42 Bet365 1,5 pts
Barney most 180s Vs Taylor - 5/6 Betfair 1pt