Week 12 (Night 13) is hosted in Birmingham where the weekend truly got off to a flyer with us pocketing all three bets producing a very pleasing return.
Looking at movements in the outrights MVG is still 8/15 with a few firms to win the competition, with Rob Cross his closest rival edging out to 9/2 from 4/1 last week. Wade is 12/1 and Gerwyn Price is 13/1.
Wright and Smith were 3/10 each to NOT make the O2 finals next month two weeks ago and are now off the table Price is now 11/8 with Gurney at 1/3 versus Wade 11/8 and Suljovic at evens to finish fifth or worse. Cross is 8/1 and a BIG unlikely 66/1 on MVG failing to qualify from here.
Those wanting a price on the perfect finish will get 11/5 with Sportingbet.
Week 12 (Head to head)
Suljovic Vs Smith (Suljovic leads 9-6)
Match odds:
Suljovic - 13/8 Betfred
Smith - 13/10 Bet365
Tie - 15/4 Bet365
Layers certainly give Smith the slight edge here despite Bullyboy’s pasting 6-0 in the European Tour last weekend by Ricky Evans.
Suljovic kept in the hunt for a top four spot beating rival Daryl Gurney and will be another game where the pressure is on playing a care free Smith playing for position now, with 6th place his probable best chance now.
Odds compilers factor in that the pressure is now off and this is the opportunity to seize a chance in a market here.
Suljovic has hit 31 maximums in 136 legs with Smith hitting 41 in the same period.
This implies Mensur’s average 180 per leg is 0.2279 compared to Michaels 0.3014 per leg. Over 14 legs Smith should land just over 4 with Mensur just over 3. Betting lines suggest 3 maximums is penned at 3/4 with Sportingbet and Smith over 3.5 is 7/10 with the above firm. BoyleSports are 7/10 Smith hits more and can see punters considering this, whereas Paddy Power offer 5/4 Smith wins by two or more. When the pair met earlier in the campaign Smith won the count 3-2 and in nine legs.
Cross Vs Price (Cross leads 4-2)
Match odds:
Cross - 19/20 Marathonbet
Price - 9/4 Betfred
Tie - 19/5 BoyleSports
Voltage’s performance last week was not too bad by all accounts but was blown away by eight consecutive legs by MVG to win 8-2.
Cross comes into the market a tad under evens, with Gezzy a certain brow raising 9/4 and the draw almost 4/1 with BoyleSports.
Price was highly effective beating Smith shot for shot having suffered a 170 checkout taken the following leg matches with one of his own. In a fast paced performance.
I like the look of under 7.5 maximums with Sportingbet at 3/4 which was a copy of the suggested bet from last week which didn’t quite make the final cut. Both players are capable but seeing Cross misfire like he did last week and Price not the most reliable on the maximums this is in with a shout
Gurney vs Wright (Wright leads 14-7)
Match odds:
Gurney - 13/10 Betfair
Wright - 13/8 Betway
Tie - 4/1 Spreadex
Despite the apparent dip in form from Snakebite bookmakers have kept him in the hunt to turn it around and in respect is in a bad patch not having the darts set up to suit with his averages suffering.
All three meetings in the PL have landed up as draws so worth considering four in a row?
Punters will surely look at taking on Snakebite and with the pressure is off is a factor now. Gurney has to win to keep in with a chance of taking a top four, so is effectively a must win tie.
Gurney, a two-time major winner has all the credentials to get over the line and is worth a chance to succeed especially at 13/10.
Wade Vs MVG (MVG leads 34-16)
Match odds:
Wade - 5/1 Unibet
MVG - 4/9 Paddy Power
Tie - 5/1 Spreadex
Wade beat MVG in the reverse fixture and shrewd punters will consider the 5/1 on offer for the double to take place.
MVG won his 30th European Tour title over the weekend and made light work over most of the weekend with the exception of one narrow winning game.
Wade’s recent pro tour hat-rick of victories has given the machine an excellent headspace in his game.
MVG is pretty unpredictable on the PL circuit and powering ahead in the standings makes him the most likely regular season winner for the sixth year straight.
The handicap implies Wade with a 2.5 leg start is a smidgen over evens at 11/10 might not be enough to consider.
Recommendations:
Gurney to beat Wright - 13/10 Betfair 1pt
Cross/Price - U7.5 180s 3/4 Sportingbet 1pt
Smith most 180s Vs Suljovic - 7/10 BoyleSports 2pts
Over 11.5 legs (Cross/Price) and U 13.5 legs (Wade/MVG) - 89/100 Sportingbet 1.5 pts
Looking at movements in the outrights MVG is still 8/15 with a few firms to win the competition, with Rob Cross his closest rival edging out to 9/2 from 4/1 last week. Wade is 12/1 and Gerwyn Price is 13/1.
Wright and Smith were 3/10 each to NOT make the O2 finals next month two weeks ago and are now off the table Price is now 11/8 with Gurney at 1/3 versus Wade 11/8 and Suljovic at evens to finish fifth or worse. Cross is 8/1 and a BIG unlikely 66/1 on MVG failing to qualify from here.
Those wanting a price on the perfect finish will get 11/5 with Sportingbet.
Week 12 (Head to head)
Suljovic Vs Smith (Suljovic leads 9-6)
Match odds:
Suljovic - 13/8 Betfred
Smith - 13/10 Bet365
Tie - 15/4 Bet365
Layers certainly give Smith the slight edge here despite Bullyboy’s pasting 6-0 in the European Tour last weekend by Ricky Evans.
Suljovic kept in the hunt for a top four spot beating rival Daryl Gurney and will be another game where the pressure is on playing a care free Smith playing for position now, with 6th place his probable best chance now.
Odds compilers factor in that the pressure is now off and this is the opportunity to seize a chance in a market here.
Suljovic has hit 31 maximums in 136 legs with Smith hitting 41 in the same period.
This implies Mensur’s average 180 per leg is 0.2279 compared to Michaels 0.3014 per leg. Over 14 legs Smith should land just over 4 with Mensur just over 3. Betting lines suggest 3 maximums is penned at 3/4 with Sportingbet and Smith over 3.5 is 7/10 with the above firm. BoyleSports are 7/10 Smith hits more and can see punters considering this, whereas Paddy Power offer 5/4 Smith wins by two or more. When the pair met earlier in the campaign Smith won the count 3-2 and in nine legs.
Cross Vs Price (Cross leads 4-2)
Match odds:
Cross - 19/20 Marathonbet
Price - 9/4 Betfred
Tie - 19/5 BoyleSports
Voltage’s performance last week was not too bad by all accounts but was blown away by eight consecutive legs by MVG to win 8-2.
Cross comes into the market a tad under evens, with Gezzy a certain brow raising 9/4 and the draw almost 4/1 with BoyleSports.
Price was highly effective beating Smith shot for shot having suffered a 170 checkout taken the following leg matches with one of his own. In a fast paced performance.
I like the look of under 7.5 maximums with Sportingbet at 3/4 which was a copy of the suggested bet from last week which didn’t quite make the final cut. Both players are capable but seeing Cross misfire like he did last week and Price not the most reliable on the maximums this is in with a shout
Gurney vs Wright (Wright leads 14-7)
Match odds:
Gurney - 13/10 Betfair
Wright - 13/8 Betway
Tie - 4/1 Spreadex
Despite the apparent dip in form from Snakebite bookmakers have kept him in the hunt to turn it around and in respect is in a bad patch not having the darts set up to suit with his averages suffering.
All three meetings in the PL have landed up as draws so worth considering four in a row?
Punters will surely look at taking on Snakebite and with the pressure is off is a factor now. Gurney has to win to keep in with a chance of taking a top four, so is effectively a must win tie.
Gurney, a two-time major winner has all the credentials to get over the line and is worth a chance to succeed especially at 13/10.
Wade Vs MVG (MVG leads 34-16)
Match odds:
Wade - 5/1 Unibet
MVG - 4/9 Paddy Power
Tie - 5/1 Spreadex
Wade beat MVG in the reverse fixture and shrewd punters will consider the 5/1 on offer for the double to take place.
MVG won his 30th European Tour title over the weekend and made light work over most of the weekend with the exception of one narrow winning game.
Wade’s recent pro tour hat-rick of victories has given the machine an excellent headspace in his game.
MVG is pretty unpredictable on the PL circuit and powering ahead in the standings makes him the most likely regular season winner for the sixth year straight.
The handicap implies Wade with a 2.5 leg start is a smidgen over evens at 11/10 might not be enough to consider.
Recommendations:
Gurney to beat Wright - 13/10 Betfair 1pt
Cross/Price - U7.5 180s 3/4 Sportingbet 1pt
Smith most 180s Vs Suljovic - 7/10 BoyleSports 2pts
Over 11.5 legs (Cross/Price) and U 13.5 legs (Wade/MVG) - 89/100 Sportingbet 1.5 pts