I was listening to a podcast on Friday, which is a great entertaining listen with Lee, Derek, Ron and Robbie, when he appears. This is of course The Punt, which can be found via I tunes under William Hill or download through their website - http://news.williamhill.com/sub/radio/football-previews/
Football previews are done with Derek and Ron Mondays and Robbie is in attendance on the Friday edition. Anyway Derek made me laugh early on by saying that last sunday's TV fixtures were better than this weekends, in a sarcastic manner, that Southampton Vs West Ham is not a big highlight in Derek's opinion.
I disagree in respects of, this is a game, where you could put a case forward for all three outcomes, although bookmakers are over-rating Southampton in our opinion, that their betting price, should be nearer the evens mark for this game. The odds are 17/20 with Stan James for the home win; 13/5 with the same firm for the draw and 4/1 with Bet365 for the away win.
The Opta stats for the match are:
With the lack of goals you have to consider the fewer than three goal market and 4/5 with Skybet just about ticks the box for us.
The other TV game is between Reading and Brighton. The home side are 11/8, the draw and the away win at 12/5.
The OPTA stats could be mis-leading seeing as Reading were in the Premier League last term.
Reading have won eight points from the first five games, with Brighton on seven points from their first five games. Reading have placed twice at home thus far and are unbeaten. They blew their lead over Watford in their last home game, but only narrowly beat Ipswich in the other. Other than the 3-3 draw against Watford, no other Championship encounter in the other four has seen either team score more than two. In fact Reading have scored two or more in two of the first three games. The last two have seen just one goal scored. Brighton have scored in every one of their five games and only scored more than one in one game.
We think Reading will have enough to avoid losing, but will be a lively end to end affair, so we expect to see a few corners in the game. Paddy Power offer a Goals X Corners market and both selections will reap in excess of 2/1 as long as there are 12 or more corners.
An excellent bet for Monday is whether Liverpool can make a successive fourth 1-0 win. William Hill goes 40/1 that Liverpool win 1-0 and Sturridge nets first with the true price around 36/1. The bet of Monday is for both teams not to score on this one. Paddy Power goes 11/10 on this outcome. It is hard to believe that both teams to score is odds on, with Swansea in European action on Thursday night may see this game as a chance to tighten their defense. Five of the last six meetings have seen both teams not scoring and three of the last six heading under 2.5 goals.
Sunday recommendations:
Football previews are done with Derek and Ron Mondays and Robbie is in attendance on the Friday edition. Anyway Derek made me laugh early on by saying that last sunday's TV fixtures were better than this weekends, in a sarcastic manner, that Southampton Vs West Ham is not a big highlight in Derek's opinion.
I disagree in respects of, this is a game, where you could put a case forward for all three outcomes, although bookmakers are over-rating Southampton in our opinion, that their betting price, should be nearer the evens mark for this game. The odds are 17/20 with Stan James for the home win; 13/5 with the same firm for the draw and 4/1 with Bet365 for the away win.
The Opta stats for the match are:
- Southampton have scored just four goals in their last eight Barclays Premier League matches.
- The Hammers have won only one of their last 15 Barclays Premier League away games (D4 L10).
- Saints have committed the most fouls in the Premier League so far this season; but only been shown two yellow cards.
- West Ham failed to register a shot on target in their last Premier League match; against Stoke on August 31st.
- Sam Allardyce is unbeaten in nine Premier League meetings with Southampton (W3 D6).
- Not since Mauricio Pochettino’s first home game in charge (0-0 v Everton) have Southampton managed a clean sheet at St Mary’s in the Premier League (eight games).
- West Ham have attempted fewer passes (938) than any other side in the Premier League this season and have the worst passing accuracy (72.3%).
- Mark Noble has score three goals in the last three league meetings between West Ham and Southampton; more than any against other league opposition.
- Southampton are unbeaten in their last four home matches against West Ham (W2 D2).
- No English player has scored more goals in the Premier League since the beginning of last season than Rickie Lambert (16).
With the lack of goals you have to consider the fewer than three goal market and 4/5 with Skybet just about ticks the box for us.
The other TV game is between Reading and Brighton. The home side are 11/8, the draw and the away win at 12/5.
The OPTA stats could be mis-leading seeing as Reading were in the Premier League last term.
- Reading have won just one of their last eight home league matches.
- Only Watford boast a better pass completion rate (84.9%) than Brighton & Hove Albion (82.7%) this season.
- The Royals have won their last six games against Brighton, keeping four clean sheets in the process.
- Brighton have scored the opening goal in four of their five Championship games this season, but won only two of those four matches, losing the other two.
- Reading had the best defence during their Championship promotion season in 2011/12, shipping just 41 goals.
- Albion have mustered just one goal in their last five meetings with Reading.
Reading have won eight points from the first five games, with Brighton on seven points from their first five games. Reading have placed twice at home thus far and are unbeaten. They blew their lead over Watford in their last home game, but only narrowly beat Ipswich in the other. Other than the 3-3 draw against Watford, no other Championship encounter in the other four has seen either team score more than two. In fact Reading have scored two or more in two of the first three games. The last two have seen just one goal scored. Brighton have scored in every one of their five games and only scored more than one in one game.
We think Reading will have enough to avoid losing, but will be a lively end to end affair, so we expect to see a few corners in the game. Paddy Power offer a Goals X Corners market and both selections will reap in excess of 2/1 as long as there are 12 or more corners.
An excellent bet for Monday is whether Liverpool can make a successive fourth 1-0 win. William Hill goes 40/1 that Liverpool win 1-0 and Sturridge nets first with the true price around 36/1. The bet of Monday is for both teams not to score on this one. Paddy Power goes 11/10 on this outcome. It is hard to believe that both teams to score is odds on, with Swansea in European action on Thursday night may see this game as a chance to tighten their defense. Five of the last six meetings have seen both teams not scoring and three of the last six heading under 2.5 goals.
Sunday recommendations:
- Southampton/West Ham - Under 2.5 goals 4/5 Skybet
- Reading/Brighton - Under 2.5 goals and over 11 corners 3/1 Paddy Power & also over 2.5 goals and over 11 corners - 16/5 - combines 21/10 winner cumulatively
- Monaco and Florentina to win - 103/100 Winner
- Swansea/Liverpool - Both teams not to score - 11/10 Paddy Power (Monday)